The Making of Equality: How the Second World War Shaped the Norwegian Income Distribution
(with Ran Abramitzky and Kjell Gunnar Salvanes)
Abstract
Throughout history, wars and episodes of violent disruption have often been associated with reductions in economic inequality. However, the underlying dynamics and mechanisms behind the reduction in inequality during wars are less understood. This paper explores these dynamics and mechanisms in the context of Norway. We have four main findings. First, we document a large wage decline in income inequality in Norway that occurred during World War II and persisted until the mid-1960s. Second, we show that this decline in inequality was a result of convergence between occupations and across municipalities. Third, we use a newly digitized individual-level panel of official tax records, to estimate the effect of wartime local labor market shocks on employment, earnings, and inequality. Specifically, we test the effects of price shocks of food and forestry product on local labor markets and of wartime investment in industrial infrastructure, airports, and defense installations. Comparing regions that received investments with similar regions that did not, we find short run and long-lasting effects both on employment and income of investments in manufacturing, as well as strong effects on income in areas affected by the enormous wartime price increase of fish, agricultural food, and forest products.
Fertility, Family Formation and Human Capital
(with Aline Butikofer and Kjell Gunnar Salvanes)
Abstract
By varying the intensity of compulsory schooling while keeping the number of compulsory school years constant, this paper generates new insights into the effect of human capital on fertility on the extensive and intensive margin. We leverage population-wide panel data for Norway in combination with a school reform in the 1930s changing the instruction time during the school year that allows us to isolate the effect of human capital investment on fertility behavior across the life-cycle from an incarceration effect. We present robust evidence of reduced total fertility driven mostly by an increase in the share of women with one or no children and an increase in the age at first birth by around four months.
Norwegian Tax Returns from the 20th Century: An Automated Machine Learning Approach
(with Kjell Gunnar Salvanes)
Abstract | Random data sample
High-quality administrative tax data has been instrumental in advancing economic research over the past several decades. However, the scarcity of data prior to the 1970s has posed a significant obstacle to the study of the distribution of economic outcomes across people and generations in historical settings. We introduce a dataset extending Norwegian tax records to 1900 by meticulously digitizing more than 270,000 pages. The dataset includes most Norwegian regions and data on name, occupation, place of residence, earnings, and wealth. We link observations across years to significantly enhance the usefulness of the data. We argue that the methodologies employed in this paper offer significant potential for application to a wider range of sources and countries.